Rice @ Southern Mississippi - Total Under 54 (-110) - 1.1 Units
I'm actually posting this as Rice is kneeling on the ball to run out the clock. This was just another game that I had handicapped correctly but the ball didn't bounce my way. I scored this game as a 30-17 USM victory, so either taking Rice +20.5 or the total Under 54 had good value. My score was probably a bit high as USM was starting its third-string quarterback and Rice is one of the worst teams in Division I-A, coming in with an 0-4 record that included a loss at home to Division I-AA Nicholls State. On top of all this, the 3rd string freshman QB was injured very early in the game and USM was forced to play their injured second string QB.
Unfortunately, the two teams had 9 turnovers between them, leading to Rice scoring drives of 10 yards (1:24), 12 yards (1:15), 26 yards (1:25) and a 7 yard drive that ended in a field goal. Because of turnovers, USM allowed 31 points to a Rice offense which only managed to gain 239 yards (only 68 yards passing).
Amazingly, the under was relatively safe as Rice led 31-7 with 12 minutes left in the game and USM having less than 200 total yards. Of course, USM scored two touchdowns (the second on fourth-and-goal) and two 2-point conversions to make the score 31-23 and put the total right on the number. They then scored one more time for good measure before Rice finally decided to play defense and stopped the two-point conversion to preserve the win.
I'll just keep plugging along until these breaks turn around for me.
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