Monday, October 8, 2007

A Quick Method To Determine If I Have Action on a Game

Simply check if there are an inordinate number of special teams or defensive touchdowns.  I remain convinced that there is no way you can account for these touchdowns when you handicap a game, but they are giving me heartburn they happen with such regularity.  I took a couple of bad beats in college football (Andre Woodson, I'm looking at you) at the hands of these renegade scores, but they seem to break both ways in the NFL.  Of course, I know that if an event is truly random that the occurrences that don't go my way will eventually be evened out by good fortune, much like taking bad beats in poker.  But, just like in poker, it sure does suck when you catch a string of bad luck in a row.

Anyway, here was my NFL action for the weekend and the corresponding touchdowns not scored by offensive players.

1. Arizona (-3 @ -120) @ St. Louis - 2.4 Units

The Cardinals had 2 defensive touchdowns to give me a break, but then gave up a 30-yard touchdown with 0:13 left in the game to drop the game to a push.  All things considered, I'll take it

2. Cleveland @ New England - Total Over 48 (-110) - 1.1 Units

A late defensive touchdown by New England pushed the game over the number.

3. Seattle (+6 @ -115) @ Pittsburgh - 1.15 Units

Amazingly enough, Pittsburgh outright beat the Seahawks, with all three touchdowns coming on offense

4. Miami @ Houston (-5.5 @ -110)

Another game where I missed

5. 3 Team Teaser - Jacksonville/Kansas City Under 43, Indianapolis (-2.5), Dallas (-3) - (+150) 1 Unit

I won the first two legs of the teaser and then Buffalo gets THREE return touchdowns (2 INT, 1 Kickoff). 

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