NFL - Week 2

Not much time to explain the plays, but a big card today.

1. New Orleans Saints (-1 @ -110) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1.1 Units)

I got this line a month ago when they had several games posted over the course of the season.  The line is up to Bucs +4 right now, so it looks like I got some good value here.

2. San Diego Chargers (+3.5 @ -110) @ New England Patriots (1.1 Units)

Same thing with this line (bet it a month ago), but it happens that this is the exact same line that is posted today.  I still think this is the right way to go on this game.

3. Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5 @ -110) @ Cleveland Browns (1.1 Units)

I've pretty much decided that I'm going to go against the Browns any time I can lay less than a touchdown as they may be the worst team in the league

4. Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans - Total Under 45.5 (1.1 Units)

Both games last year went well under this number and I can't imagine that the Titans are going to try to outscore the Colts, so look for a ton of rushing plays.  Even if the Colts do get out to a lead and force the Titans to pass, Vince Young and his 50% completion rate shouldn't really terrify anyone.

5. Kansas City Chiefs @ Chicago Bears (-12 @ -110) (1.1 Units)

I kind of liked the Over 34.5 in this game, but I think the Bears covering 12 is more likely.  I just didn't want to be in a position where I need the Chiefs to score a touchdown against the Bears defense to get over 34.

6. San Francisco 49ers (-0.5 @ -110) vs New York Giants (1.1 Units)

This is an imaginary matchup where a line has been posted.  Much like fantasy football, i need the niners (@ Rams) to outscore the Giants (vs. Packers).  Word is that Eli will try to play, but I don't think he's going to have a great deal of success against a good young Packers defense.  If he can't go, then they will be rolling with The Battleship Lorenzen and Derrick Ward leading the offensive charge.  I like this bet.

7. Chicago Bears (-0.5 @ -110) vs Philadelphia Eagles (1.1 Units)

Just like the last bet, Philly is playing a decent defense (Washington) on monday night while the Bears are at home against the terrible Chiefs.

8. San Francisco 49ers (+3 @ +100) @ St. Louis Rams (1 Unit)

I don't necessarily like to predict a decent team like the Rams opening up 0-2 at home, but the loss of Orlando Pace is going to seriously stunt their offense while Jim Haslett's defense is going to have a tough time with Frank Gore.